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MESA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Mesa Air could benefit from industry recovery and strategic partnerships. Recent uptick suggests potential for a rebound supported by mean reversion tendencies.

Bearish Case: Continued financial struggles due to high operational costs and market volatility. The aviation sector's inherent uncertainties amplify this risk.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of minor recovery due to strategic measures.
30% chance of further financial decline from economic pressures.
10% chance of significant market turbulence impacting prices.

May 17, 2025

Mesa Air Forecast

MESA Mesa Air

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MESA

VRNT Verint Systems (0.74)

IMMR Immersion (0.68)

KLAC KLA (0.66)

NUVB Nuvation Bio (0.63)

TWST Twist Bioscience (0.62)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MESA

AA Alcoa (0.0)

HBM Hudbay Minerals (0.01)

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.01)

EIX Edison International (-0.01)

OMC Omnicom Group (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MESA

PPL PPL (-0.67)

BABA Alibaba (-0.7)

FNF Fidelity National Financial (-0.71)

ALL Allstate (-0.72)

FAST Fastenal (-0.72)

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