FTI Forecast


Bullish Case: TechnipFMC's (FTI) historical price return surface shows higher likelihood of upside returns for holding periods over 1 year. Continued positive momentum and Helium AI's bullish price forecast further bolster bullish outlook.


Bearish Case: FTI's mean-reverting price action and discrepancies between Helium and market-implied volatilities suggest potential cooling off or downside shift. Low trading volume and negative correlation with AI forecast heighten bearish risks.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 60%: Continued bullish trend on strong fundamentals and AI forecasts.

2. 25%: Pullback driven by mean-reversion and overbought conditions.

3. 15%: Stagnation from sector challenges and low trading volume.


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June 13, 2024


TechnipFMC Forecast

FTI      TechnipFMC











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Assets that tend to move strongly with FTI



FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (0.93)


CNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNQ  Canadian Natural Resources (0.92)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (0.92)


SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (0.9)


TRGP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRGP  Targa Resources (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FTI



EXR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXR  Extra Space Storage (-0.0)


STAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STAA  Staar Surgical (-0.0)


SRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRE  Sempra Energy (-0.0)


PYPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PYPL  PayPal (0.01)


LXRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LXRX  Lexicon Pharmaceuticals (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FTI



MVIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MVIS  Microvision (-0.87)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (-0.88)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (-0.88)


COO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COO  Cooper Companies (-0.89)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.9)





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