LBRT Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: LBRT has seen significant institutional investment and strong earnings despite market expectations of a decline. The call option activity suggests bullish sentiment, supported by high implied volatility in the near term.


Bearish Case: Earnings forecasts are revised downwards, missing expectations in recent reports. Insiders selling shares and high implied volatilities suggest potential downside risks, especially if earnings on July 17 disappoint.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings Beat (35%) – Positive surprise boosting stock.

2. Earnings Miss (45%) – Further decline as forecasted earnings outlook remains weak.

3. Neutral Earnings (20%) – Minor market reaction, slight volatility adjustment.


Trading Oracle: Entering a long call debit spread with buying $20 strike calls and selling $22 strike calls expiring in 67 days leverages bullish volatility skew and high implied volatility. Profitable if LBRT surpasses $22. Attractive edge and favorable reward-risk.


July 16, 2024


Liberty Oilfield Services Forecast

LBRT      Liberty Oilfield Services











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FDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDX  Fedex (0.0)


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Anticorrelated Assets

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LEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEG  Leggett & Platt (-0.86)


LPSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LPSN  Liveperson (-0.88)





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