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MPWR Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: MPWR's historical resilience, strong fundamentals, and AI/semiconductor market advances suggest continued growth potential despite recent sell-offs.



Bearish Case: Significant insider sales, high P/E ratio, and uncertain volatility indicate potential near-term headwinds and heightened risk exposure.



Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of recovery driven by demand and innovation; 30% risk of correction due to valuation concerns; 10% stagnation in volatility.



Trading Oracle: Consider trading bearish credit spreads. Sell $500 puts and buy $480 puts for a short volatility stance, expiring in ~39 days. Leverage 75% probability and 19% return on risk. Capture short-term profits as volatility normalizes.


January 14, 2025


Monolithic Power System Forecast

MPWR        Monolithic Power System

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HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (0.73)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.72)


ING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ING  ING Groep (0.72)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MPWR


ABSI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABSI  Absci (0.01)


TRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRV  Travelers Companies (0.01)


MIR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MIR  Mirion Technologies Inc. (-0.01)


CHPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHPT  ChargePoint (0.02)


ABR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABR  Arbor Realty (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MPWR


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (-0.68)


CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (-0.68)


HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (-0.7)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (-0.78)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (-0.8)







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