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MPWR Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: With strong historical growth, innovative product demand, and positive earnings potential, MPWR may see substantial price appreciation, particularly as semiconductor market needs escalate.



Bearish Case: Market volatility, potential insider selling, and high valuations might dampen MPWR's upward momentum, risking a significant price adjustment especially given current concerns surrounding economic stability.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued Growth (60%): Strong fundamentals could bolster stock.
  • Market Correction (30%): Increased volatility and selling pressures may lead to declines.
  • Sideways Movement (10%): Economic stagnation might result in no significant price change.



Trading Oracle: Consider initiating a bullish debit spread, targeting $580-$600 calls expiring on December 20, 2024. This approach leverages current volatility with a positive outlook while mitigating downside risk. Manage near-term expirations to capitalize on potential earnings catalysts.


November 22, 2024


Monolithic Power System Forecast

MPWR        Monolithic Power System

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MPWR


EPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPI  WisdomTree India Earnings (0.8)


ASPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASPN  Aspen Aerogels (0.78)


IIPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IIPR  Innovative Industrial Properties (0.77)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (0.76)


STX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STX  Seagate Technology (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MPWR


LMND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LMND  Lemonade (-0.0)


ON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ON  ON Semiconductor (0.01)


ABSI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABSI  Absci (0.01)


XEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XEL  Xcel Energy (-0.01)


SIMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIMO  Silicon Motion Technology (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MPWR


HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (-0.77)


LULU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LULU  Lululemon Athletica inc. (-0.78)


PRCH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PRCH  Porch (-0.78)


PLBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLBY  PLBY (-0.78)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (-0.82)







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