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CDW Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CDW's focus on cloud and cybersecurity, combined with recent earnings beats, positions it well for growth. High call volume suggests bullish sentiment.

Bearish Case: CDW faces market saturation and competition from tech giants. Elevated implied volatility and historical flat price action signal downside risk.

Potential Outcomes: Data breach impacts (55% chance)
Continued dividend stability (65% chance)
Market revaluation due to competition (45% chance)

Trading Oracle: Utilize Bullish Short Volatility strategy to leverage current backwardation and bullish risk. Selling ATM puts and buying OOTM puts align with increased call volume.

May 22, 2025

CDW Forecast

CDW CDW

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CDW

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (0.92)

VAL Valaris (0.92)

XRX Xerox (0.92)

MEG Montrose Environmental (0.9)

ASH Ashland (0.89)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CDW

TTI Tetra Technologies (0.0)

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.0)

ETR Entergy (-0.0)

WCC Wesco International (0.01)

HSIC Henry Schein (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CDW

TW Tradeweb Markets (-0.78)

IMAX Imax (-0.79)

LNG Cheniere Energy (-0.79)

LRN Stride (-0.8)

PPL PPL (-0.8)

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