Bullish Case: Growing embedded finance sector and BofA upgrade suggest upside. Recent stock upgrades and positive earnings surprises could continue, supporting a bullish scenario.


Bearish Case: Sustained financial instability and periodic negative returns indicate a bearish outlook. Institutional sales and MQ's consistent negative price action over time suggest further decline.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Enhanced customer base leads to breakout (20%);

2) Continued financial losses drag stock down (50%);

3) Market sentiment shifts with new product launch (30%).


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April 12, 2024


Marqeta Forecast

MQ        Marqeta
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with MQ



AFRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AFRM]  Affirm (0.86)


BRZE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BRZE]  Braze (0.84)


AAOI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AAOI]  Applied Optoelectronics (0.84)


PDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PDD]  Pinduoduo (0.84)


NYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [NYT]  New York Times Co. (0.84)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to MQ



BCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BCS]  Barclays (-0.0)


HASI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HASI]  Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure (-0.0)


BBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BBY]  Best Buy (0.0)


KLIC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [KLIC]  Kulicke & Soffa Industries (0.0)


CFR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CFR]  Cullen Frost Bankers (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against MQ



TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TMV]  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.77)


HROW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HROW]  Harrow Health (-0.78)


STAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [STAA]  Staar Surgical (-0.79)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VXX]  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.79)


VIXM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VIXM]  ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures (-0.81)





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