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MSM Forecast

Bullish Case: MSM's strong fundamentals, low implied volatility, and resilience in the face of economic uncertainty support a potential rebound, particularly if strategic initiatives succeed.

Bearish Case: Continued high volatility and unfavorable macroeconomic conditions could pressure MSM's stock price further, exacerbated by weak market sentiment and potential earnings disappointments.

Potential Outcomes: 60% probability: MSM trades range-bound as historical patterns persist.
25% probability: Price uptick driven by strategic success and economic stabilization.
15% probability: Decline due to sustained economic weakness and market volatility.

April 09, 2025

MSC Industrial Direct Co. Forecast

MSM MSC Industrial Direct Co.

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MSM

WGO Winnebago Industries (0.78)

FERG (0.78)

DAR Darling Ingredients (0.7)

NOG Northern Oil and Gas (0.7)

ATKR Atkore (0.68)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MSM

PNC PNC Financial Services (0.0)

ENVX Enovix (-0.0)

VOD Vodafone (-0.0)

MAC Macerich (-0.0)

CCK Crown Holdings (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MSM

VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.44)

VNET VNET (-0.46)

AGI Alamos Gold (-0.47)

FOXA Fox Corporation - (-0.48)

EOSE Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.51)

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