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MTCH Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MTCH's focus on innovation and international expansion may drive user growth, enhancing revenue. Strong portfolio and recent market positioning improvements support upward price potential.

Bearish Case: Intensified competition and regulatory challenges could hinder growth, leading to user base erosion and negative price pressure, especially with high implied volatility persisting.

Potential Outcomes: Expansion success boosts user growth (60%).
Regulatory challenges dampen growth (20%).
Intense competition limits market share (20%).

April 04, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MTCH

GRBK Green Brick (0.76)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.74)

EXAS Exact Sciences (0.7)

IRM Iron Mountain (0.7)

SOHU Sohu.com Ltd. (0.69)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MTCH

TPB Turning Point Brands (0.0)

MEOH Methanex (-0.01)

RKLB Rocket Lab USA (0.01)

BYRN Byrna (0.01)

TWO Two Harbors Investment (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MTCH

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.51)

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.55)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (-0.59)

ETR Entergy (-0.62)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (-0.62)

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