MTCH Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: MTCH's user engagement continues to improve, driven by successful app innovations like Archer, alongside rising market sentiment indicated by increasing implied volatility. Potential favorable earnings could unlock higher valuation.




Bearish Case: Increased competition from new entrants could pressure MTCH's market share, leading to stagnated growth. Regulatory scrutiny might also trigger financial setbacks, dampening stock performance.




Potential Outcomes:

1. User growth from app features (60%).

2. Intensified competition limits market share (25%).

3. Regulatory hurdles impact profits (15%).




Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread by purchasing the $37.50 call and selling the $39.00 call as the price approaches favorable news. With current high implied volatility, target a return of 25% over 3-4 weeks, leveraging MTCH's upward trend while managing risk.



October 28, 2024










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Assets that tend to move strongly with MTCH



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CCOI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCOI  Cogent Communications (0.75)


ILMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ILMN  Illumina (0.74)


SWK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SWK  Stanley Black & Decker (0.74)


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (0.72)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MTCH



STRL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STRL  Sterling Construction Company (0.0)


HSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSY  Hershey (0.0)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.0)


MGM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGM  MGM Resorts International (-0.0)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MTCH



STRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STRA  Strategic Education (-0.6)


STAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STAA  Staar Surgical (-0.61)


HAE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HAE  Haemonetics (-0.61)


CTRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTRA  Coterra Energy (-0.64)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (-0.67)


MTCH News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.










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