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MTCH Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MTCH's robust portfolio and increased user engagement, highlighted by social sentiment, indicate potential upward price movements, supported by comparatively high implied volatility in call options.

Bearish Case: Intense competition and regulatory pressures, coupled with a downward trend in MTCH's historical returns, suggest potential downward price movements, exacerbated by high volatility in near-term puts.

Potential Outcomes: MTCH experiences moderate growth due to successful feature rollouts (40%), intensified competition leads to stagnation (35%), regulatory challenges impact profitability (25%)

Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread by buying $30.00 calls and selling $31.50 calls expiring next month. Capitalize on increased call volume and high implied volatility. Target a 20% return as user engagement boosts market sentiment.

December 27, 2024

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ZTS Zoetis (0.7)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MTCH

LMND Lemonade (0.0)

LAC Lithium Americas (0.0)

LYV Live Nation Entertainment (-0.0)

EVRG Evergy (-0.0)

FIVE Five Below (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MTCH

CTRA Coterra Energy (-0.61)

REAL Therealreal (-0.62)

MCK Mckesson (-0.68)

RRC Range Resources (-0.73)

UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.75)

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