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MVIS Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: The anticipated growth in the ADAS market coupled with favorable technological updates could propel MVIS above resistance levels. Current high implied volatility suggests potential for a significant bullish run.



Bearish Case: Despite the strong outlook for ADAS, ongoing competition and recent flat trading could suppress MVIS performance. High volatility levels may also indicate increased market skepticism about recovery prospects.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 1. MVIS outperforms due to key partnership announcements (20%)
  • 2. Continued stagnation due to heightened competition (35%)
  • 3. Positive earnings leads to upward surge (25%)
  • 4. Regulatory challenges lead to decline (20%)



Trading Oracle: Deploy a bull call spread, buying the MVIS 1.50 C (Nov 29, 2024) and selling the 2.00 C to limit risk. High implied volatility suggests capturing potential upside while mitigating downside exposure. Target short-term profits given impending catalysts and favorable market sentiment.


November 28, 2024


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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MVIS


U Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   U  Unity Software (0.91)


FIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FIVE  Five Below (0.89)


CBRL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRL  Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (0.89)


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (0.88)


EWZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWZ  iShares MSCI Brazil (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MVIS


GILD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GILD  Gilead Sciences (0.01)


RBLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RBLX  Roblox Corporation - (0.01)


TTWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTWO  Take-Two Interactive Software (0.01)


LRCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRCX  Lam Research (0.01)


APLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLD  Applied Blockchain (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MVIS


HEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HEI  Heico (-0.84)


ISRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ISRG  Intuitive Surgical (-0.84)


FTAI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTAI  Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors (-0.85)


MO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MO  Altria (-0.85)


GDDY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GDDY  Godaddy (-0.88)







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