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NNN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: NNN's stable dividend history and potential market rate cuts may foster investor interest, hinting at a rebound opportunity.

Bearish Case: High debt levels and interest rate pressures, combined with retail sector risks, could inhibit NNN's growth prospects.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Slow growth from dividends (50%),

2. Volatility from market conditions (30%),

3. Decline from economic factors (20%).

Trading Oracle: Consider a short credit spread targeting NNN with a bearish outlook. Sell a $40 put and buy a $35 put expiring in 90 days. Current implied volatility favors this trade, offering decent reward-risk ratio amid growing economic uncertainties.

January 26, 2025

National Retail Properties Forecast

NNN National Retail Properties

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NNN

KO Coca-Cola (0.85)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.84)

EIX Edison International (0.8)

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.79)

MHK Mohawk Industries (0.79)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NNN

ILMN Illumina (0.01)

DAVE Dave (-0.01)

WRBY Warby Parker (0.01)

MAX MediaAlpha (-0.01)

TNK Teekay Tankers (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NNN

CRNC Cerence (-0.73)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.73)

TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.76)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.77)

YELP Yelp (-0.78)

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