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Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ServiceNow's AI-driven growth and strategic acquisitions suggest robust potential. Elevated call volumes and strategic AI adoption highlight positive sentiment.



Bearish Case: High valuations, latent security issues, and macroeconomic uncertainties may dampen future performance. Elevated implied volatility indicates potential market skepticism.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. AI-driven growth continues (60%)
  2. Macro volatility impacts (40%)
  3. Security breach affects trust (20%)



Trading Oracle: Adopt the Bullish Short Volatility strategy: sell ATM put options, buy OOTM put options. This leverages current bullish momentum and counteracts potential volatility skew, aligning with AI growth probability.


February 26, 2025


ServiceNow Forecast

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