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NTR Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: With 69% more bullish risk, significant call option volume, and stable implied volatility, Nutrien's fundamentals and demand trends suggest potential upside.

Bearish Case: Flat current term structure, historical volatility, and potential regulatory challenges hold downside risk, particularly with mixed analyst views and agricultural market volatility.

Potential Outcomes: 50% chance: Sustained demand drives long-term gains.
35% chance: Regulatory hurdles increase costs, trimming profits.
15% chance: Neutral impact if market remains flat.

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May 29, 2025

Nutrien Forecast

NTR Nutrien

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NTR

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.77)

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.7)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (0.64)

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (0.64)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (0.62)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NTR

SATS EchoStar (0.0)

BEP Brookfield Renewable (0.0)

STM New York Shares (-0.0)

CRH CRH Plc (0.0)

AMZN Amazon.com (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NTR

IRM Iron Mountain (-0.62)

FCEL Fuelcell Energy (-0.64)

EIX Edison International (-0.65)

SAFE Safehold (-0.67)

VTRS Viatris (-0.71)

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