SAFE Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SAFE's mean-reverting nature and undervaluation present upside if volatility declines and economic conditions stabilize.




Bearish Case: High put volumes and declining trend suggest skepticism. Elevated volatility may lead to further price drops amidst market uncertainty.




Potential Outcomes: Stabilization due to mean reversion (40%), further decline from market skepticism (35%), moderate rally on positive sentiment shift (25%).




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June 25, 2025


Safehold Forecast

SAFE        Safehold











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SAFE



KHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KHC  Kraft Heinz (0.94)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.94)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (0.93)


CAG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAG  Conagra Brands (0.93)


DHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DHI  D.R. Horton (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SAFE



HSIC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSIC  Henry Schein (0.0)


ABNB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABNB  Airbnb (-0.01)


IREN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IREN  IREN (0.01)


KLAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KLAC  KLA (0.02)


RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RACE  Ferrari (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SAFE



SAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAP  Sap SE (-0.82)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.86)


HOOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOOD  Robinhood Markets (-0.86)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (-0.87)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.87)









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