Bullish Case: NVR's historical stock resilience and recent mean-reverting behavior suggest a strong base for positive momentum as the market stabilizes post-corrections.


Bearish Case: Insider selling, mixed market indicators, and economic headwinds pose significant risks, cautioning against overly optimistic expectations for NVR.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Market sentiment turns bullish; NVR rises - 40%.

2. Insider selling leads to bearish perception; NVR dips - 30%.

3. Mixed signals maintain status quo; NVR stagnates - 30%.


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April 04, 2024


NVR Forecast

NVR        NVR
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with NVR



ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ITB]  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.97)


BLDR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BLDR]  Builders Firstsource (0.97)


PAVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PAVE]  Global X Funds - Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development (0.97)


NAIL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [NAIL]  Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (0.97)


XLI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [XLI]  Industrial Select Sector SPDR (0.97)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to NVR



OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [OXY]  Occidental Petroleum (0.0)


MNSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [MNSO]  MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.0)


SIL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SIL]  Global X Funds - Global X Silver Miners (0.0)


RWT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [RWT]  Redwood (0.0)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TBT]  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against NVR



SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SRTY]  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.93)


DOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [DOG]  ProShares Short Dow30 (-0.95)


DXD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [DXD]  ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (-0.95)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SDOW]  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.95)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SPXS]  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.96)





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