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NVS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Recent FDA approvals and strategic investments highlight growth potential, while low implied volatility suggests market stability.

Bearish Case: Patent expiration risks and backwardation in implied volatility indicate potential challenges, with looming legal threats impacting sentiment.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of growth from strategic drug approvals and manufacturing expansions.
30% risk from patent expirations and legal challenges.
10% chance of competitive pressures affecting market share.

April 13, 2025

Novartis Forecast

NVS Novartis

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NVS

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TW Tradeweb Markets (0.0)

XRX Xerox (0.0)

FERG (0.01)

EXAS Exact Sciences (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NVS

TDOC Teladoc Health (-0.68)

LYFT Lyft (-0.74)

PCOR Procore (-0.76)

HUBS HubSpot (-0.76)

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