OGN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Organon’s label expansion for Vtama and recent leadership changes may drive growth and investor confidence, potentially reversing mean reversion trends.




Bearish Case: High debt levels, market skepticism, and historical negative returns suggest potential continued declines, with flat market dynamics and competitive pressures persisting.




Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of stable returns due to mean reversion, 30% chance of moderate decline from high debt, 20% chance of growth from new product launches.




Trading Oracle: Execute a bearish credit spread: sell OGN $15.00 put and buy $12.50 put. Leverage high implied volatility and flat term structure for a high probability of profit. Capitalize on potential downside within 60-90 days.



February 12, 2025


Organon Forecast

OGN        Organon











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with OGN



ST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ST  Sensata (0.88)


TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (0.83)


XYL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XYL  Xylem (0.82)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (0.79)


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to OGN



DKS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKS  Dicks Sporting Goods (0.0)


LSCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LSCC  Lattice Semiconductor (0.0)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (-0.0)


X Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   X  United States Steel (-0.0)


OLPX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLPX  Olaplex (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OGN



ILMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ILMN  Illumina (-0.75)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (-0.77)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (-0.77)


WHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHR  Whirlpool (-0.77)


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (-0.81)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with OGN


 Ask any question about OGN!