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ATO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Consistent dividends, growth in institutional interest, and mean-reverting price action suggest stability in the utility sector. Backwardation highlights short-term pressures, but with potential recovery later.

Bearish Case: Concerns over natural gas market and regulatory challenges could impact growth. Increased put volume reflects investor apprehension, supported by term structure indicating current uncertainty.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of moderate growth leveraging dividends and stability.
35% chance of stagnation from sectoral challenges.
25% chance of adverse impacts due to regulatory pressures.

April 26, 2025

Atmos Energy Forecast

ATO Atmos Energy

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ATO

SG Sweetgreen (-0.01)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.01)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.02)

ROIV Roivant Sciences (0.03)

EXAS Exact Sciences (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ATO

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.89)

STM New York Shares (-0.89)

XRX Xerox (-0.9)

ASH Ashland (-0.9)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.93)

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