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ON Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ON's position in EV and semiconductor markets, combined with strategic partnerships, supports potential growth. Implied volatility trends suggest market optimism.



Bearish Case: Challenges from macroeconomic factors, geopolitical tensions, and regulatory pressures could impede ON's growth. Elevated implied market volatility hints at significant investor caution.



Potential Outcomes: High EV demand drives growth (50%), regulatory issues disrupt supply chains (25%), macroeconomic risks cause market volatility (15%), export controls increase costs (10%).



Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread: buy $57 call, sell $59 call. Target 21-day expiry. Helium's high implied volatility suggests long volatility strategy is favored. Aim for a potential 972% return, leveraging anticipated upside in the EV sector.


February 19, 2025


ON Semiconductor Forecast

ON        ON Semiconductor

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MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (-0.6)


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