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ONON Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Positive consumer feedback and growing AI integration suggest potential demand increase. The implied volatility surface provides a positive outlook for upside potential.

Bearish Case: Economic downturn risks and competitive pressures could limit growth. High implied volatility signals lingering market caution, potentially leading to setbacks.

Potential Outcomes: AI adoption surge boosts demand: 50% chance
Market saturation and competition: 25% chance
Market neutrality continues: 15% chance
Economic downturn impacts negatively: 10% chance

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish short volatility strategy due to the positive expected edge and favorable risk/reward ratio. This involves selling ATM puts and buying more OOTM puts, capitalizing on implied volatility differences.

March 16, 2025

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VOO Vanguard S&P 500 (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ONON

DOMO Domo (0.0)

CPS Cooper-Standard (0.0)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.01)

FLNC Fluence Energy (-0.01)

CRC California Resources (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ONON

COTY Coty (-0.86)

WU Western Union (-0.87)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (-0.87)

GES Guess (-0.88)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.91)

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