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PBF Forecast

Price Forecast:

80% Confidence

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: PBF's partnership with Eni in renewable diesel could boost earnings, aligning with sustainability trends. Recent investor interest (e.g., Carlos Slim) reinforces potential for growth given sector momentum.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and declining prices suggest market uncertainty. Reduced refining margins and weak performance could exacerbate downturn, negatively impacting PBF's valuation amidst volatile sector dynamics.

Potential Outcomes: 70% renewable pivot boosts earnings; 30% declining margins and market volatility dampen outlook.

Trading Oracle: Execute a short-term bearish debit spread. Buy the $25 put and sell the $22 put expiring in 60 days. Leverage declining refining margins and market volatility for high reward:risk. This strategy capitalizes on negative sentiment while controlling risk through defined downside.

January 02, 2025

PBF Energy Forecast

PBF PBF Energy

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Uncorrelated Assets

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PBF

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SRE Sempra Energy (-0.9)

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