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AI PCVX Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Positive FDA approval for VAX-24 could significantly enhance PCVX's market value, buoyed by robust institutional support and promising clinical data.

Bearish Case: Disappointing Phase 1/2 trial results for VAX-31 or delayed FDA approvals may result in price dips, as market sentiment can quickly shift negative.

Potential Outcomes:

1) FDA approval for VAX-24 (65%);

2) VAX-31 data disappointment (30%);

3) Increased market competition (10%).

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread involving PCVX 80C and 90C for expiration on September 20, 2024. High implied volatility suggests significant upside potential with reduced risk exposure.

August 29, 2024

Vaxcyte Forecast

PCVX Vaxcyte

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PCVX

ISRG Intuitive Surgical (0.93)

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.93)

GWRE Guidewire Software (0.93)

ICE Intercontinental Exchange (0.93)

COHR Coherent (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PCVX

HSY Hershey (-0.0)

MT New York Shares (-0.0)

RIOT Riot Blockchain (0.0)

SLS SELLAS Life Sciences (0.0)

AAOI Applied Optoelectronics (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PCVX

FNGR FingerMotion (-0.88)

CORN Teucrium Corn (-0.89)

SH ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.9)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)

SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.9)

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