APLS Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Potential for rebound driven by product pipeline success and oversold conditions. High implied volatility suggests market misjudgment, enabling upside correction.




Bearish Case: Prolonged downward trend due to high volatility and market skepticism about product efficacy. Mean reversion and previous declines suggest continued pressure.




Potential Outcomes:
1) Rebound to $25 if clinical results are favorable (30%).
2) Stability at $18.79 due to economic uncertainty (50%).
3) Further decline to $15 amidst continued volatility and negative sentiment (20%).



April 11, 2025


Apellis Pharmaceuticals Forecast

APLS        Apellis Pharmaceuticals











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