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PFS Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: High implied volatility and potential merger synergies could drive significant upward movement as institutional confidence grows.



Bearish Case: Elevated short-term volatility and historical downturns suggest ongoing risks, possibly leading to further declines if macroeconomic pressures persist.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Merger Synergies Realized (20%): Potential for recovery.
  • Continued Downturn (40%): Ongoing economic pressures.
  • Market Stability (25%): Flat movement.
  • Regulatory Challenges (15%): New regulations impact negatively.


May 27, 2025


Provident Financial Services Forecast

PFS        Provident Financial Services

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PFS


FITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FITB  Fifth Third Bancorp (0.94)


PNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNC  PNC Financial Services (0.92)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.89)


KIM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KIM  Kimco Realty (0.89)


MTB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTB  M & T (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PFS


SCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCO  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.0)


HTGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTGC  Hercules (0.0)


DIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIN  Dine Brands (-0.0)


CGNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CGNX  Cognex (0.01)


CLSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLSK  Cleanspark (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PFS


NTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTR  Nutrien (-0.53)


GROY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GROY  Gold Royalty (-0.55)


PAGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAGS  PagSeguro Digital (-0.58)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.69)


EWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWW  iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.69)







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