PHM Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Despite recent declines, PHM's strong historical returns and low P/B ratio, coupled with positive market sentiment and future land acquisitions, provide a bullish outlook.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and increased put option volumes signal potential downward pressure, especially with looming economic uncertainties and rising interest rates.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50%: Steady growth from strong fundamentals and positive sentiment.
  • 30%: Price stagnation due to market uncertainties.
  • 20%: Downturn from economic pressures.




Trading Oracle:

Utilize a Bullish Short Volatility strategy due to solid historical performance and favorable volatility structures. A strategy of selling ATM $100 puts and buying OTM $90 puts offers a 78% chance of profit, leveraging stable volatility trends and positive returns.



March 28, 2025


PulteGroup Forecast

PHM        PulteGroup











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PHM



ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.96)


BZH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BZH  Beazer Homes USA (0.86)


LHX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LHX  L3Harris (0.83)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.83)


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PHM



BKSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BKSY  BlackSky Technology (0.0)


YPF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YPF  YPF (0.0)


NRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NRG  NRG Energy (0.0)


ARKX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKX  ARK ETF Trust - ARK Space Exploration & Innovation (-0.0)


ALLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALLT  Allot (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PHM



CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (-0.61)


ACI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACI  Albertsons Companies (-0.62)


ATEC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATEC  Alphatec (-0.62)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.73)


IRTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRTC  iRhythm (-0.74)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with PHM


 Ask any question about PHM!