PHM Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: PHM shows robust historical returns and AI bullish outlook (+1.12%) with 22% more bullish risk exposure, indicating strong market confidence in its future growth.




Bearish Case: Increasing put volume (61% more than calls) and overvaluation concerns amidst high implied volatility suggest potential downward pressure if market sentiment turns negative.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance of moderate growth due to strong fundamentals.
  • 30% probability of correction due to rising rates.
  • 20% chance of increased volatility causing fluctuations.




Trading Oracle: Bullish Long Volatility strategy is suitable due to the stable flat term structure and increased bullish risk. Consider buying OOTM call options and selling further OOTM calls to capitalize on upward volatility trends. Learn More.



April 27, 2025


PulteGroup Forecast

PHM        PulteGroup











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PHM



ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.98)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.93)


BZH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BZH  Beazer Homes USA (0.92)


OMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMC  Omnicom Group (0.89)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PHM



DG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DG  Dollar General (-0.0)


ALL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALL  Allstate (0.0)


ZBH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZBH  Zimmer Biomet (0.0)


GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLNG  Golar Lng (0.0)


IGV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IGV  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PHM



HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.57)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.6)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (-0.63)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.65)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.66)









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