AI PHM Forecast + Trading Strategies

Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: PulteGroup's strong historical performance, improving housing demand, and elevated call options trading indicate bullish sentiment. Helium's volatility forecast suggests a positive market outlook, supported by lower implied volatility compared to market averages.


Bearish Case: Increased market uncertainty due to high put option volumes and recent insider sales could lead to downward pressure on PHM. With historical mean-reverting patterns, a potential price correction may arise amidst elevated market volatility.


Potential Outcomes:

1. (65%) Continued bullish momentum from strong performance and demand drivers.

2. (20%) Increased volatility driven by speculative trading leading to a potential correction.

3. (15%) Insider selling negatively impacting sentiment, pressuring prices.


Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish credit spread strategy by selling a $145 call and buying a $150 call, capitalizing on expected stabilization in volatility. Estimated odds of profit at 67% with 28% potential return based on Helium's analysis.


September 22, 2024


PulteGroup Forecast

PHM        PulteGroup
















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