PMF Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Mean reversion supported by historical trends suggests potential upside. Institutional backing and defensive nature in turbulent markets could stabilize and boost PMF prices.




Bearish Case: Historical data indicates a high likelihood of further declines. Persistent high rates undermine municipal bond appeal, potentially exacerbating negative returns for PMF.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Mean reversion (+60%): 40% probability
  • Institutional support (+30%): 30% probability
  • Price decline due to rates (-30%): 20% probability
  • Increased volatility (+10%): 10% probability



June 20, 2025


Pimco Municipal Income Forecast

PMF        Pimco Municipal Income
















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