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PMF Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Mean reversion supported by historical trends suggests potential upside. Institutional backing and defensive nature in turbulent markets could stabilize and boost PMF prices.

Bearish Case: Historical data indicates a high likelihood of further declines. Persistent high rates undermine municipal bond appeal, potentially exacerbating negative returns for PMF.

Potential Outcomes: Mean reversion (+60%): 40% probability
Institutional support (+30%): 30% probability
Price decline due to rates (-30%): 20% probability
Increased volatility (+10%): 10% probability

June 20, 2025

Pimco Municipal Income Forecast

PMF Pimco Municipal Income

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