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PPC Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: PPC's strategic growth, evidenced by new investments and solid operations, suggests potential upward movement. Options volume tilts towards calls, reflecting bullish sentiment.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and flat term structure indicate limited upside, compounded by concerns over debt and volatile market conditions in the poultry industry.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance of growth due to stable operations and investments.
  • 30% chance of decline from debt concerns and price volatility.
  • 20% chance of stability, reflecting mean reversion patterns.



Trading Oracle: Utilize Bearish Long Volatility strategy by buying OOTM put options with high volatility, profiting from potential downside driven by debt issues and unfavorable implied volatility.


March 18, 2025


Pilgrim's Pride Forecast

PPC        Pilgrim's Pride

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PPC


PM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PM  Philip Morris International (0.93)


CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.92)


TGTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGTX  TG Therapeutics (0.91)


CRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRS  Carpenter Technology (0.91)


GSHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GSHD  Goosehead Insurance (0.9)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PPC


NNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NNN  National Retail Properties (-0.0)


BZH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BZH  Beazer Homes USA (-0.01)


AMGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMGN  AMGEN (0.01)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (0.02)


CL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CL  Colgate-Palmolive (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PPC


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.86)


DOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOW  Dow (-0.87)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.88)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (-0.88)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.94)







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