PSX Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Elliott's aggressive proxy battle might trigger operational improvements, potentially enhancing PSX's performance and shareholder value.




Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures and volatility in refining margins could pose significant risks, leading to underperformance despite strategic efforts.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Operational improvements succeed, leading to stock growth (45%).
  • Market volatility impacts refining margins, causing flat performance (35%).
  • Sustained regulatory pressures hinder growth (20%).



April 30, 2025


Phillips 66 Forecast

PSX        Phillips 66











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PSX



SBLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBLK  Star Bulk Carriers (0.9)


NXPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NXPI  NXP Semiconductors (0.88)


GPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GPC  Genuine Parts (0.88)


CVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVE  Cenovus Energy (0.88)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PSX



JBLU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JBLU  Jetblue Airways (-0.0)


HRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HRI  Herc (-0.0)


DXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXC  DXC Technology (0.01)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.01)


ROK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROK  Rockwell Automation (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PSX



CALM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CALM  Cal-Maine Foods (-0.77)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.77)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.78)


GGAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GGAL  Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.8)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.85)









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