RDW Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong contract wins and technological advancements position RDW for continued growth. Historical trends show significant upward momentum.




Bearish Case: High debt levels and recent price declines indicate potential investor skepticism. Elevated volatility suggests uncertainty, which could lead to further drops.




Potential Outcomes: RDW increases: 65%, driven by contracts. Decline: 35% due to debt concerns.




Trading Oracle: Initiate bullish debit spreads expiring in 150 days, buying RDW $20 calls and selling $25 calls. High volatility supports long positions with favorable risk-to-reward ratios. Capitalize on implied volatility spikes.



February 21, 2025


Redwire Forecast

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