RDW Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: The strong implied volatility suggests a growing interest and potential upside in RDW, especially driven by upcoming contract news that could positively impact investor sentiment.




Bearish Case: High market uncertainty and the risk of insider trading could undermine RDW's bullish momentum, leading to significant downward pressure on stock prices.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive contract news boosts RDW by 70% probability.

2. Insider trading shocks investor confidence at 30% chance.

3. Market-wide downturn affects RDW negatively with a 40% likelihood.




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish long call spread, buying $8.00 calls and selling $9.00 calls expiring in December 2024 to capture potential upside while managing risk. Utilize current implied volatility trends for an edge in execution.



November 03, 2024


Redwire Forecast

RDW        Redwire











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RDW



SPYG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYG  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth (0.97)


IVW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVW  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares S&P 500 Growth (0.97)


GLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLW  Corning (0.96)


MGK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGK  Vanguard Mega Cap Growth (0.96)


BAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAC  Bank Of America (0.96)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RDW



SIRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIRI  Sirius XM (-0.0)


BYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYD  Boyd Gaming (-0.0)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (0.01)


PCTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PCTY  Paylocity (-0.01)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RDW



SEDG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEDG  Solaredge (-0.91)


TXG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TXG  10x Genomics (-0.91)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.92)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.96)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.96)









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