REAL Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Implied volatility shows signs of bullish sentiment as indicated by high call volume and a favorable term structure. A rebound towards $4 is plausible if market conditions improve and positive catalysts emerge.




Bearish Case: The market displays uncertainty, with high volatility risks persisting. A bearish scenario could see REAL prices tested down to $2.50 amidst economic headwinds or negative operational news.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of a bullish climb to $4 due to strong catalyst impacts.

2. 35% chance of stagnation around $3.20, mixed market signals at play.

3. 25% failure to hold, dropping to $2.50 due to elevated volatility and market pressures.




Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread using the REAL 11/15/2024 4.00 C, capitalizing on high implied volatility while minimizing downside risk. Target profit near $4 with a stop-loss around recent lows. High risk-reward setup with sufficient time ahead to capitalize on market shifts.



November 05, 2024


Therealreal Forecast

REAL        Therealreal











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with REAL



AR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AR  Antero Resources (0.84)


NVT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVT  nVent Electric (0.83)


VDE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VDE  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Energy (0.82)


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (0.82)


APH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APH  Amphenol (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to REAL



BHVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHVN  Biohaven Pharmaceutical (-0.0)


TERN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TERN  Terns Pharmaceuticals (-0.0)


SIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIG  Signet Jewelers (0.0)


HUN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUN  Huntsman (-0.0)


NOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOC  Northrop Grumman (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against REAL



IGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IGT  International Game Technology (-0.69)


YCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCL  ProShares Ultra Yen (-0.69)


NKLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKLA  Nikola (-0.71)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (-0.76)


ERY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERY  Direxion Daily Energy Bear 2X Shares (-0.78)


REAL News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.










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