REAL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: REAL has significant upside potential due to high implied volatility and recent bullish call option activity, indicating strong market sentiment and potential catalysts.


Bearish Case: REAL faces substantial downside risks due to elevated implied volatility and uncertainty in market direction, reflected by flat recent price action and higher put option volume.


Potential Outcomes: 50% chance REAL trades between $3.30-$3.70 due to mixed signals. 30% chance price exceeds $4.00 driven by unexpected catalysts. 20% chance it falls below $3.00 due to high volatility.


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July 16, 2024


Therealreal Forecast

REAL      Therealreal











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with REAL



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.75)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.69)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.43)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.52)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to REAL



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.43)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.52)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.69)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.75)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against REAL



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.75)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.69)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.43)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.52)





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