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RILY Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: RILY's strategic acquisitions and mean-reverting historical prices hint at potential upside if market sentiment improves. Current low prices could attract investors eyeing recovery and value opportunities.



Bearish Case: RILY continues suffering from legal and financial hurdles, paired with high volatility. Negative sentiment and regulatory issues hinder stability, suggesting further downside risks in the short term.



Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of continued decline due to unresolved issues; 45% stabilization if strategic actions pay off; 25% recovery driven by market sentiment shifts.



Trading Oracle: Deploy a bearish short volatility position by selling short-term RILY calls and buying higher strike calls. Target a 7-day expiration to leverage high implied volatility with a 71% profit probability and a 129% annualized return potential.


February 08, 2025


B. Riley Financial Forecast

RILY        B. Riley Financial

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RILY


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.88)


RIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIG  Transocean (0.86)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.85)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.84)


LYB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYB  LyondellBasell Industries (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RILY


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.0)


VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (0.0)


TS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TS  Tenaris S.A. (0.0)


ODFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODFL  Old Dominion Freight Line (-0.01)


TALK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TALK  Talkspace (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RILY


OPFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OPFI  OppFi (-0.88)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (-0.88)


CYBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CYBR  CyberArk Software (-0.88)


TVTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TVTX  Travere Therapeutics (-0.88)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.89)







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