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RILY Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Potential strategic growth and acquisitions could stabilize finances, with a tech push increasing value.



Bearish Case: Poor financial performance and legal woes amplify sell pressure; high implied volatility suggests downside risk.



Potential Outcomes: 60% chance continued downtrend; 25% stabilization if legal issues resolve; 15% unexpected rebound on strategic wins.



Trading Oracle: Sell short-term RILY credit spreads (bearish) by selling $5 strike calls and buying $6 strike calls to capitalize on heightened implied volatility. Target 7-day expiration. This strategy exploits the current market overpricing, maximizing potential returns with limited risk exposure.


January 11, 2025


B. Riley Financial Forecast

RILY        B. Riley Financial

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RILY


RIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIG  Transocean (0.84)


ALV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALV  Autoliv (0.81)


GRWG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GRWG  GrowGeneration (0.81)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (0.78)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RILY


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (-0.0)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.0)


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (-0.01)


DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (0.01)


LCID Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LCID  Lucid (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RILY


GWRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GWRE  Guidewire Software (-0.82)


COHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COHR  Coherent (-0.83)


CYBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CYBR  CyberArk Software (-0.85)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (-0.85)


INFY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INFY  Infosys (-0.87)







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