RSG Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: RSG’s strong financials, environmental focus, robust dividend growth, and steady historical returns underpin its bullish potential.


Bearish Case: Legal issues, potential operational disruptions, and competition in the waste management sector may weigh on RSG’s short-term performance.


Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of continued EPS growth on sustainability focus, 25% chance of market conditions impacting price, 20% legal/operational issues, 5% unexpected macro events.


Trading Oracle: Trade bullish credit spreads by selling 190/195 put spreads with ~45 days expiry. Utilize RSG's stable returns and low implied volatility, leveraging Helium's edge for a high probability profit and positive reward:risk.


July 18, 2024


Republic Services Forecast

RSG      Republic Services











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RSG



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.86)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.43)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.74)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RSG



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.43)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.74)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.75)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.86)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RSG



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.86)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.43)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.74)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.75)





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