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RWR Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: The implied volatility is comparatively low, indicating market confidence. Historical return trends show a likelihood of positive returns, suggesting a bullish outlook for RWR driven by potential recovery in the REIT market.



Bearish Case: High put volume suggests market pessimism. If economic conditions worsen, volatility could spike, leading to significant declines in RWR, amplified by recent flat price action.



Potential Outcomes:

1. RWR increases by 10% (30% probability) due to economic stabilization.

2. RWR declines by 15% (50% probability) from high sell pressure.

3. RWR flat movement around the current level (20% probability) as uncertainty prevails.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread using the RWR 105.00 C and RWR 110.00 C. Implied volatility is favorable, suggesting potential upside with a robust risk-reward ratio. Optimal for holding until market stabilizes for greater profit potential.


November 08, 2024


SPDR DJ Wilshire REIT Forecast

RWR        SPDR DJ Wilshire REIT

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RWR


XLRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLRE  Real Estate Select Sector SPDR (0.99)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.98)


PSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSA  Public Storage (0.97)


EXR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXR  Extra Space Storage (0.93)


IEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEI  BTC iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RWR


APPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APPS  Digital Turbine (0.0)


MAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAX  MediaAlpha (-0.0)


IVR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVR  Invesco Mortgage (0.01)


FCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCX  Freeport-McMoRan (0.01)


IYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IYT  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Transportation (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RWR


BP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BP  BP (-0.79)


HAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HAL  Halliburton (-0.79)


PBF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PBF  PBF Energy (-0.8)


DK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DK  Delek US (-0.81)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.82)







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