RYAN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: RYAN's implied volatility is lower than market's, indicating potential upside. Historical mean reversion supports bullish sentiment. Positive options volume hints at investor confidence.




Bearish Case: High D&O claims and fluctuating implied volatility suggest risk. Elevated put volume indicates market concern, signaling potential downward pressure.




Potential Outcomes:
  • MGU success drives growth: 60%
  • D&O claims increase, hurting earnings: 30%
  • Mean reversion maintains stability: 10%




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March 25, 2025


Ryan Specialty Forecast

RYAN        Ryan Specialty











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RYAN



SPLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLV  Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility (0.93)


HIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIG  Hartford Financial Services (0.89)


EPAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPAC  Enerpac Tool Group Corp (0.88)


CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.87)


VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RYAN



DNOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNOW  NOW (-0.0)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (0.0)


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (0.01)


CRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRC  California Resources (0.01)


NXST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NXST  Nexstar Media (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RYAN



EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.8)


DK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DK  Delek US (-0.8)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.81)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.84)


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (-0.85)









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