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RYAN Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: RYAN is benefiting from strategic expansions, with MGU integrations and positive market sentiment driving potential sales upticks. Implied volatility trends suggest possible bullish momentum.



Bearish Case: Persistent D&O claims and competitive pressures pose risks, with helium variance indicating potential downside. Market corrections and recent downward volatility could detract from stock growth.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. MGU integration success (+60% chance)
  2. D&O issues pressure earnings (-30%)
  3. Market correction stabilizes prices (+10%)



Trading Oracle: Opt for a Bullish Long Volatility Strategy. Buying OOTM calls leverages RYAN's potential upside amid low IV. Strategy chosen due to expected volatility spike post-MGU integration.


April 27, 2025


Ryan Specialty Forecast

RYAN        Ryan Specialty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RYAN


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (0.88)


OGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGE  Oge Energy (0.85)


ITA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITA  BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.83)


ALL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALL  Allstate (0.82)


FAST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FAST  Fastenal (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RYAN


CMCSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMCSA  Comcast (0.01)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (-0.02)


PHG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHG  Koninklijke Philips (0.02)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (-0.03)


VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RYAN


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.75)


ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (-0.75)


RCKT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCKT  Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.76)


VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNT  Verint Systems (-0.77)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.81)







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