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RYAN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: RYAN is benefiting from strategic expansions, with MGU integrations and positive market sentiment driving potential sales upticks. Implied volatility trends suggest possible bullish momentum.

Bearish Case: Persistent D&O claims and competitive pressures pose risks, with helium variance indicating potential downside. Market corrections and recent downward volatility could detract from stock growth.

Potential Outcomes: MGU integration success (+60% chance)
D&O issues pressure earnings (-30%)
Market correction stabilizes prices (+10%)

Trading Oracle: Opt for a Bullish Long Volatility Strategy. Buying OOTM calls leverages RYAN's potential upside amid low IV. Strategy chosen due to expected volatility spike post-MGU integration.

April 27, 2025

Ryan Specialty Forecast

RYAN Ryan Specialty

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RYAN

PPL PPL (0.84)

ITA BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.83)

FAST Fastenal (0.82)

COMP Compass (0.81)

ALL Allstate (0.79)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RYAN

DDOG Datadog (-0.02)

PHG Koninklijke Philips (0.02)

CMCSA Comcast (-0.02)

BEPC Brookfield Renewable (0.02)

VOD Vodafone (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RYAN

STM New York Shares (-0.75)

AMCX AMC Networks (-0.76)

RCKT Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.76)

MEG Montrose Environmental (-0.8)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.81)

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Trading Strategies

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Short Volatility

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