SBS Forecast


Bullish Case: SBS’s current market position and future innovation in drone tech for military use are strong growth drivers. Short-term forecast indicates modest price appreciation, complemented by global packaging market expansion boosting demand.


Bearish Case: Current flat price action and high volatility suggest potential for downside risk. Downtrend over last 60-90 days, weak price forecast (-0.3% 90-day return), and potential market shifts indicate vulnerability.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continuation of current trends (60%, neutral to -10%);

2. Sudden tech innovation adoption (20%, +30%);

3. Economic slowdowns affecting developments (20%, -20%).


Trading Oracle: Implement short-term bullish debit spreads (e.g., Aug '24 $15 Calls). Favor Helium Long Volatility, as Helium forecasts higher-than-market volatility/returns. Target modest strike increments for high Probability of Profit (POP).


July 16, 2024


Companhia de Saneamento Basico do Estado de Sao Paulo. Forecast

SBS      Companhia de Saneamento Basico do Estado de Sao Paulo.











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AGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGO  Assured Guaranty (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SBS



ONEW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONEW  Onewater Marine (0.0)


USO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USO  United States Commodity Funds (-0.0)


SNDL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNDL  Sundial Growers (-0.0)


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.0)


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SBS



MESO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MESO  Mesoblast (-0.83)


GOGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOGO  Gogo (-0.85)


PFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PFE  Pfizer (-0.85)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.88)


APD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APD  Air Products & Chemicals (-0.88)





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