SCO Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: With 64% higher call volume and 8% greater bullish risk across tenors, SCO could see upward movement, supported by mean reversion trends and geopolitical developments.




Bearish Case: Persistent historical declines and negative returns over several timelines, combined with high volatility, suggest downside risk if economic pressures continue.




Potential Outcomes: 35% chance of neutrality as flat trends persist; 40% chance of bearish movement due to volatility and historical patterns; 25% chance of a short-term rally by geopolitical shifts.




Trading Oracle: Consider Bearish Long Volatility strategy. High volatility and historical downward trends align with this approach, offering leverage on potential continued declines.



April 14, 2025


ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil Forecast

SCO        ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SCO



CB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CB  Chubb (0.72)


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (0.67)


UL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UL  Unilever (0.65)


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (0.64)


UVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVE  Universal Insurance (0.62)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SCO



CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (0.01)


SLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLS  SELLAS Life Sciences (-0.01)


IMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMO  Imperial Oil (-0.01)


BKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BKE  Buckle (-0.01)


RJF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RJF  Raymond James Financial (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SCO



BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.6)


MEOH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MEOH  Methanex (-0.65)


NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (-0.65)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.68)


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (-0.73)









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