SECT Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: A bullish case arises from the upward trend indicated by historical returns, suggesting a 25% chance of price acceleration, especially with options positioning reflecting heightened demand and high implied volatility suggesting market optimism.




Bearish Case: Conversely, a bearish outlook is warranted by market uncertainty displayed in the volatility surfaces, indicating a 15% chance of downward pressure as implied volatility peaks alongside recent flat price action.




Potential Outcomes: Key outcomes include:

1) 60% chance of consolidation around $54;

2) 25% chance for a bullish breakout above $55;

3) 15% chance of a pullback below $50 due to market corrections.




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October 20, 2024


Northern Lights Fund Trust IV - Main Sector Rotation Forecast

SECT        Northern Lights Fund Trust IV - Main Sector Rotation











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SECT



SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.99)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.99)


VTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTI  Vanguard Total Stock Market (0.99)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.99)


SPXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXL  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (0.99)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SECT



PFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PFE  Pfizer (0.0)


VNET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNET  VNET (-0.0)


WBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBS  Webster Financial (-0.0)


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (0.0)


ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SECT



UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.96)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.98)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.99)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.99)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.99)









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