SHLS Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong demand for solar solutions and potential patent victory could boost SHLS, with high implied volatility suggesting upside potential in options.




Bearish Case: High market implied volatility and significant price drops indicate potential financial instability and ongoing legal concerns, suppressing SHLS's growth.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Patent victory: 55% chance, boosting confidence.
  • Insider selling: 30% chance, depressing price.
  • Neutral market: 15% chance, maintaining price level.




Trading Oracle:
Leveraging SHLS high implied volatility, execute a Bullish Long Volatility strategy. Buy $3.0 strike calls and sell $4.0 further OOTM calls, capitalizing on potential short-term volatility with limited downside risk.



March 26, 2025


Shoals Forecast

SHLS        Shoals











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SHLS



GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.89)


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (0.89)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.88)


CRON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRON  Cronos (0.86)


ATKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATKR  Atkore (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SHLS



CL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CL  Colgate-Palmolive (0.0)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (0.0)


CPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPS  Cooper-Standard (0.01)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.01)


IR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IR  Ingersoll-Rand (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SHLS



CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.88)


GIL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIL  Gildan Activewear (-0.89)


PM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PM  Philip Morris International (-0.89)


TPB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPB  Turning Point Brands (-0.9)


PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (-0.9)









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