SMPL Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SMPL benefits from stable demand for healthy snacks and successful brand integrations. The options volume suggests high interest in upward potential, aligning with positive social sentiment.




Bearish Case: Rising competition in healthy snacks and concerns over SMPL's valuation may hinder growth. High implied volatility in puts indicates market apprehensions, pointing to potential downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of moderate growth driven by health trends and successful integrations.
  • 35% chance of stable performance due to mean reversion.
  • 25% risk of decline amid competitive pressures.



April 23, 2025


Simply Good Foods Forecast

SMPL        Simply Good Foods











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SMPL



FLNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNC  Fluence Energy (0.0)


PRAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PRAA  PRA (-0.01)


EXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXC  Exelon (-0.01)


IBN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IBN  ICICI (0.01)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SMPL



XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.53)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.56)


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (-0.61)


TYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TYD  Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.62)


AMGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMGN  AMGEN (-0.63)









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