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SMPL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SMPL benefits from stable demand for healthy snacks and successful brand integrations. The options volume suggests high interest in upward potential, aligning with positive social sentiment.

Bearish Case: Rising competition in healthy snacks and concerns over SMPL's valuation may hinder growth. High implied volatility in puts indicates market apprehensions, pointing to potential downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of moderate growth driven by health trends and successful integrations.
35% chance of stable performance due to mean reversion.
25% risk of decline amid competitive pressures.

April 23, 2025

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SMPL Simply Good Foods

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TDOC Teladoc Health (0.61)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SMPL

FLNC Fluence Energy (0.0)

PRAA PRA (-0.01)

EXC Exelon (-0.01)

IBN ICICI (0.01)

ALLY Ally Financial (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SMPL

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.53)

HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.56)

SNY Sanofi (-0.61)

TYD Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.62)

AMGN AMGEN (-0.63)

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