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XLU Forecast

Bullish Case: The utilities sector is poised for growth, supported by decreasing volatility trends in the options market and strong institutional interest. Anticipated rate cuts could lead to increased demand for utility stocks, enhancing their attractiveness.

Bearish Case: Despite short-term support, elevated implied volatility suggests significant market uncertainty. Macroeconomic challenges, including potential recessionary pressures, could lead to decreased demand for utilities, impacting overall performance negatively.

Potential Outcomes:

1) 40% chance of modest price increase as rate cuts emerge.

2) 30% chance of flat performance due to market stabilization.

3) 20% chance of modest decline if economic fears resurface.

4) 10% chance of rapid volatility due to unforeseen market shocks.

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November 19, 2024

Utilities Select Sector SPDR Forecast

XLU Utilities Select Sector SPDR

Price Forecast
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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to XLU

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against XLU

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.9)

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DLTR Dollar Tree (-0.91)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.92)

EWCZ European Wax Center (-0.92)

XLU News over Time

Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.

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