AI SPB Forecast


Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: SPB may benefit from reduced market uncertainty as seen in the term structure, with a potential bounce back from current valuations and positive insider sentiment. Increased volatility and a strong implied return could suggest upside opportunities.


Bearish Case: Market headwinds persist, with retail pressures and historical underperformance raising concerns. High implied volatility levels indicate uncertainty that may lead to downside risks, particularly if macroeconomic conditions worsen.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Upside volatility increase leading to price recovery (50%);

2) Continued market headwinds driving share price lower (30%);

3) Insider buys resulting in price increase (20%).


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August 11, 2024


Spectrum Brands Forecast

SPB      Spectrum Brands











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SPB



STRL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STRL  Sterling Construction Company (0.89)


BLBD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLBD  Blue Bird (0.87)


AN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AN  Autonation (0.86)


CVNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVNA  Carvana (0.86)


ZBRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZBRA  Zebra (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SPB



CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.0)


CVGW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVGW  Calavo Growers (0.01)


CWEB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWEB  Direxion Daily CSI China Internet Index Bu (0.01)


LUMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LUMN  Lumen (0.01)


ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SPB



RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.8)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.8)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.81)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.81)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.82)





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