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AI SUB Forecast


Bullish Case: If geopolitical tensions ease and favorable economic policies emerge leading to increased investment flows, SUB could rebound significantly, capitalizing on the stabilization of market sentiment and defense spending.

Bearish Case: Escalating military conflicts, especially involving submarines, alongside potential legislative setbacks regarding defense funding could severely depress SUB prices, leading to heightened volatility and investor uncertainty.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Geopolitical détente: 30% chance, boosts market confidence;

2. Conflict escalation: 40% chance, drives prices down;

3. Legislative compromise: 20% chance, mild positive effects;

4. Central bank rate adjustments: 10% chance, mixed outcomes.

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September 07, 2024


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Assets that tend to move strongly with SUB


IEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEI  BTC iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond (0.91)


TMF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMF  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (0.9)


BND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BND  Vanguard Total Bond Market (0.9)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.9)


DRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRN  Direxion Real Estate Bull 3x Shares (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SUB


LSPD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LSPD  Lightspeed Commerce Inc (Sub Voting) (-0.0)


BTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BTI  British American Tobacco (-0.0)


FTV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTV  Fortive (0.01)


AHCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AHCO  AdaptHealth (0.01)


IVR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVR  Invesco Mortgage (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SUB


EQT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EQT  EQT (-0.75)


CELH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CELH  Celsius (-0.77)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.86)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.87)



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