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TBBK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: TBBK’s strong earnings and strategic growth in fintech bolster confidence. Historical returns and social sentiment suggest continued upward momentum, supported by moderate implied volatility.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and regulatory uncertainties present risks. Recent price declines highlight market concerns, potentially exacerbated by macroeconomic instability and competition.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Stability at 45% with favorable earnings.

2) Moderate growth of 35% driven by fintech expansions.

3) 20% chance of downturn from regulatory impacts.

April 17, 2025

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TBBK Bancorp

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MTB M & T (0.93)

VTV Vanguard Value (0.93)

IWR BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TBBK

DAN Dana (-0.0)

AEHR Aehr Test Systems (-0.0)

LYFT Lyft (-0.01)

DDD 3D Systems (-0.01)

OMC Omnicom Group (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TBBK

GES Guess (-0.7)

STM New York Shares (-0.7)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.71)

SHLS Shoals (-0.71)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.71)

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