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TBBK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: TBBK’s strong earnings and strategic growth in fintech bolster confidence. Historical returns and social sentiment suggest continued upward momentum, supported by moderate implied volatility.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and regulatory uncertainties present risks. Recent price declines highlight market concerns, potentially exacerbated by macroeconomic instability and competition.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Stability at 45% with favorable earnings.

2) Moderate growth of 35% driven by fintech expansions.

3) 20% chance of downturn from regulatory impacts.

April 17, 2025

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TBBK Bancorp

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AXP American Express (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TBBK

DAN Dana (-0.0)

AEHR Aehr Test Systems (-0.0)

OMC Omnicom Group (-0.01)

CMCSA Comcast (-0.01)

PRAA PRA (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TBBK

STM New York Shares (-0.7)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.71)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.71)

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.74)

DG Dollar General (-0.83)

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