VIG Forecast


Bullish Case: VIG's robust long-term returns support continued growth, especially given its 25.8% appreciation over two years and strong historical performance.


Bearish Case: VIG's implied volatility surface indicates potential price instability; its near-term growth prospects are limited by market uncertainty.


Potential Outcomes:

1) 70% chance of modest growth continuation,

2) 20% chance of range-bound movement,

3) 10% chance of decline to near $170.


Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish long volatility spread: buy $189 strike call (delta: 0.57) and sell a $195 strike call, expiring in ~64 days. Strategy benefits from profit of uptrend potential, with a high reward:risk ratio and profitable edge.


July 20, 2024


Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF Forecast

VIG      Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VIG



UPRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPRO  ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 (0.99)


SPYG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYG  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth (0.99)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.99)


SPLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLG  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (0.99)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.99)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VIG



KLIC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KLIC  Kulicke & Soffa Industries (-0.0)


PBF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PBF  PBF Energy (-0.0)


SMPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMPL  Simply Good Foods (0.0)


ES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ES  Eversource Energy (0.0)


CIM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CIM  Chimera Investment (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VIG



TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.94)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.95)


DXD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXD  ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (-0.96)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.98)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.99)





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