Bullish Case: VIG shows a robust growth trajectory over the long term, with recent downturns likely a market correction rather than a trend reversal. Increasing implied volatility signals potential price movements, and historical performance favors positive long-term returns.


Bearish Case: Current negative short-term trend and decreased performance over the past month, combined with lower trading volumes and only a moderate increase in implied volatility, suggest potential stagnation or minor declines.


Potential Outcomes:

1) VIG rebounds to $180 (+3% chance): 40%.

2) Sideways movement around $160 (+/- 3% chance): 35%.

3) Decline to $165 or lower (-5% chance): 25%.


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April 20, 2024


Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF Forecast

VIG        Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: TRENDING (?)











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