Bullish Case: VIG shows a robust growth trajectory over the long term, with recent downturns likely a market correction rather than a trend reversal. Increasing implied volatility signals potential price movements, and historical performance favors positive long-term returns.


Bearish Case: Current negative short-term trend and decreased performance over the past month, combined with lower trading volumes and only a moderate increase in implied volatility, suggest potential stagnation or minor declines.


Potential Outcomes:

1) VIG rebounds to $180 (+3% chance): 40%.

2) Sideways movement around $160 (+/- 3% chance): 35%.

3) Decline to $165 or lower (-5% chance): 25%.


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April 20, 2024


Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF Forecast

VIG        Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: TRENDING (?)






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SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SSO]  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.99)


VTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VTI]  Vanguard Total Stock Market (0.99)


UPRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [UPRO]  ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 (0.99)


FAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [FAS]  Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares (0.99)


XLI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [XLI]  Industrial Select Sector SPDR (0.98)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to VIG



TBF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TBF]  ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (0.0)


JNJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [JNJ]  Johnson & Johnson (-0.0)


LW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [LW]  Lamb Weston (-0.0)


SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SO]  Southern (-0.0)


VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VRNT]  Verint Systems (0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against VIG



TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TZA]  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.95)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SRTY]  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.95)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SPXS]  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.98)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SDOW]  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.99)


DXD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [DXD]  ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (-0.99)





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