DGRO Forecast


Bullish Case: Improved economic outlook and a potential Fed pivot could lift DGRO's price as investors seek dividend stability, reinforcing its strong historical return over holding periods. With high implied volatility reflected in option pricing, this suggests market participants anticipate upward movement.


Bearish Case: If the Fed maintains high rates, dividend growth could be stunted, leading to diminished appeal for DGRO amid rising opportunity costs. Increased put volume indicates heightened investor concern about potential downside, supported by flat recent price action.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued mild bullish momentum: 40%

2. Stagnation around current levels: 30%

3. Macro headwinds leading to a downturn: 20%

4. Unexpected positive earnings surprises boosting confidence: 10% determined by market reactions to economic data releases.


Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish strategy using a debit spread: buy 58.00 calls for August expiration while selling 60.00 calls, capitalizing on upward price movement with acceptable risk. Given high implied volatility, this captures potential upside while controlling exposure.


July 25, 2024


iShares Core Dividend Growth Forecast

DGRO      iShares Core Dividend Growth











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DGRO



IWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWD  iShares Russell 1000 Value (0.99)


VYM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VYM  Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx (0.99)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.98)


JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (0.98)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.98)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DGRO



AWK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AWK  American Water Works (-0.0)


RIOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIOT  Riot Blockchain (-0.0)


SVOL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SVOL  Simplify Volatility Premium (0.0)


CIM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CIM  Chimera Investment (-0.0)


KLIC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KLIC  Kulicke & Soffa Industries (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DGRO



DXD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXD  ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (-0.96)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.96)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.97)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.98)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.98)





Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with DGRO


 Ask any question about DGRO!