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TBBK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: TBBK shows potential for growth due to its strong historical returns and digital transformation efforts, despite recent downturns.

Bearish Case: Hiked implied volatility and increased put volume imply potential downside due to market uncertainties and economic volatility.

Potential Outcomes: Price Stability: 40% chance; strong fundamentals support a steady trend.
Significant Decline: 30% chance; economic volatility could trigger drops.
Moderate Upside: 30% chance; ongoing sector recovery may drive gains.

Trading Oracle: Implement Bearish Long Volatility strategy due to elevated implied volatility and bearish option volume. Buy $55 puts and sell $50 puts to capitalize on potential market drops, maximizing high volatility returns.

March 16, 2025

Bancorp Forecast

TBBK Bancorp

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TBBK

VIG Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.95)

MTB M & T (0.93)

VOO Vanguard S&P 500 (0.92)

FAS Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares (0.92)

IVV BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TBBK

MSGE Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp - (-0.0)

SU Suncor Energy (-0.01)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (0.01)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (-0.01)

ACGL Arch (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TBBK

GLL ProShares UltraShort Gold (-0.83)

STM New York Shares (-0.84)

GES Guess (-0.84)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.85)

RWM ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.88)

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Market Forecasts

Bullish / Bearish

Digital Assets / Most Accurate

Trading Strategies

Long Volatility

Short Volatility

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