TDW Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: TDW's robust historical returns and capacity expansion position it for potential gains despite recent setbacks. Optimism in the offshore energy sector may spur recovery.




Bearish Case: Flat term structures and much higher put option volume signal market caution. Significant recent price decline indicates vulnerability to further downturns.




Potential Outcomes: TDW may either continue declining (40%), stabilize around current levels (30%), or recover modestly if offshore demand rises (30%).




Trading Oracle:
Trading Strategy: Given the high implied volatility and bearish sentiment, explore Bearish Long Volatility. Buying put options provides convexity and profits from further declines. Aligns with high trading volume and recent volatility patterns.



April 08, 2025


Tidewater Inc. - New Forecast

TDW        Tidewater Inc. - New











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Uncorrelated Assets

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SG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SG  Sweetgreen (0.02)


MOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MOD  Modine Manufacturing (0.02)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TDW



LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (-0.87)


OUNZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUNZ  VanEck Merk Gold (-0.88)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.88)


BK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BK  Bank Of New York Mellon (-0.89)


ORLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORLY  O'Reilly Automotive (-0.93)









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