TMV Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Higher implied volatility suggests potential upside volatility, making call options attractive, especially if unexpected positive economic developments occur.


Bearish Case: Flat recent price action and historical downward performance indicate stronger likelihood of continued decline, especially if negative economic data surfaces.


Potential Outcomes: 60% bearish trend continues as indicated by historical data and AI forecast. 40% bullish reversal if economic conditions improve unexpectedly.


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May 30, 2024


Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares Forecast

TMV      Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TMV



DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (0.75)


SRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRS  ProShares UltraShort Real Estate (0.74)


RGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RGR  Sturm, Ruger & Co. (0.72)


GUSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GUSH  Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. (0.71)


BABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BABA  Alibaba (0.71)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TMV



AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.0)


INDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INDI  Indie Semiconductor (-0.01)


FTNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTNT  Fortinet (0.01)


SEE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEE  Sealed Air (-0.01)


CNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNX  CNX Resources (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TMV



OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (-0.81)


INSM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSM  Insmed (-0.81)


ROST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROST  Ross Stores (-0.81)


UBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBS  UBS (-0.82)


S Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   S  Sprint (-0.86)





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