TMV Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: TMV may experience a rebound due to historical resilience in price returns, combined with a projected increase in implied volatility and potential for market conditions to shift positively. This could indicate undervaluation, leading to a surge in demand for TMV shares.


Bearish Case: Continued bearish trends are supported by historical data and high implied volatility, suggesting sellers dominate the market. Negative economic indicators and a bearish market sentiment could further depress TMV's price, making short strategies more viable.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of price dropping to $31 due to poor economic data.

2. 30% chance of stabilizing around $35, drawing interest from buyers.

3. 20% chance of a rebound to $41 if inflation signals trigger shifts in market sentiment.

4. 10% chance of a significant rally above $45 driven by unexpected fiscal policy.


Trading Oracle: Engage in a bullish strategy using a debit spread. Buy 1 $31 put, sell 1 $35 put, expiring in ~60 days. This leverages TMV’s potential for limited downside against market sentiment, with historical return averages suggesting favorable payouts. Aim for max profit opportunities while managing risk effectively.


July 26, 2024


Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares Forecast

TMV      Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TMV



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.32)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.22)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.08)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.42)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TMV



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.08)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.22)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.32)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.42)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TMV



LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.32)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.22)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.08)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.42)





Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with TMV


 Ask any question about TMV!