TPC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The low price-to-book ratio and recent contract wins suggest potential undervaluation and growth. Positive AI forecast and increased option trading volume indicate growing optimism, with a strategic shift in infrastructure spending providing tailwinds.




Bearish Case: Continued insider selling and flat recent price action reflect potential market skepticism. Elevated volatility and historical challenges in project execution raise concerns about sustained profitability, with potential financial distress.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 60% chance of moderate rise (10-15%) due to contract realization.
  2. 25% chance of decline from operational challenges.
  3. 15% chance of flat movement amid market uncertainty.




Trading Oracle: Bearish Long Volatility chosen due to elevated implied volatility and potential downside risks. Buying OOTM puts and selling further OOTM puts leverages market skepticism and provides downside protection.



April 26, 2025


Tutor Perini Forecast

TPC        Tutor Perini











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TPC



SCHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHD  Schwab US Dividend Equity (0.84)


RPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RPM  RPM International (0.83)


BLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLK  Blackrock (0.78)


OUT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUT  Outfront Media (0.77)


FITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FITB  Fifth Third Bancorp (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TPC



QYLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QYLD  Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call (-0.0)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.01)


DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (0.01)


RLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RLX  RLX Technology (0.02)


HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TPC



MEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MEG  Montrose Environmental (-0.49)


PAGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAGS  PagSeguro Digital (-0.57)


EWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWW  iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.57)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.57)


DOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOG  ProShares Short Dow30 (-0.77)









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